Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Brianteo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.29) 1.35 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.7% 27.9% 48.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.9%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Novara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inter U23 0 11.0% 14.9% 10.1% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.4% 12.7% 8.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.0% 5.4% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricInter U23Novara
Played55
Form13%20%
Attack13%33%
Defense60%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Inter U23 Novara
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins11%60%37%20%11%16%
Draws44%20%32%50%78%63%
Loses44%20%32%30%11%21%

Form: Inter U23: DDLWWWWDWDLWLWDLDLL • Novara: DDDDLDLDDWDDWWLDDDL

League goals

Metric Inter U23 Novara
HATHAT
GF total9142371017
GF avg1.01.41.20.71.10.9
GA total11920101020
GA avg1.20.91.11.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineInter U23Novara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%84%68%68%
1.542%21%21%26%
2.55%0%0%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricInter U23Novara
HATHAT
Clean sheets123336
Failed to score325426

Penalties

MetricInter U23Novara
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricInter U23Novara
Wins42
Draws24
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-31-00-1
Biggest losses1-22-00-33-2
Goals For2322
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricInter U23Novara
Form40%60%
Att29%71%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Novara

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Superbet
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away3.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Inter U23 = 0.85 (league 1.29), Novara = 1.35 (league 0.98)

Novara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inter U23 0 11.0% 14.9% 10.1% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.4% 12.7% 8.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.0% 5.4% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.7% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 48.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1