Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.28)
0.80 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.9% | 31.0% | 26.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.4%
0 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Adriese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luparense | 0 | 14.6% | 11.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.4% | 13.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Luparense | Adriese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 36% | 36% |
| Defense | 36% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Luparense | Adriese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 25% | 22% | 24% | 22% | 25% | 24% |
| Draws | 63% | 22% | 41% | 33% | 13% | 24% |
| Loses | 13% | 56% | 35% | 44% | 63% | 53% |
Form: Luparense: DDLWLDLDWLLWWDDLD • Adriese: DDLLDLWLLWWLLDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Luparense | Adriese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 16 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Luparense | Adriese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 47% | 82% | 59% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 29% | 29% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 18% | 12% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Luparense | Adriese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Luparense | Adriese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Luparense | Adriese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Luparense | Adriese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 55.5% | 44.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Luparense or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Luparense = 1.12 (league 1.28), Adriese = 0.80 (league 1.12)
| Adriese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luparense | 0 | 14.6% | 11.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.4% | 13.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.9% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 26.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1