Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.28) 0.81 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.5% 31.1% 26.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Adriese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luparense 0 14.6% 11.8% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.3% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.1% 7.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLuparenseAdriese
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack36%36%
Defense36%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luparense Adriese
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins25%22%24%22%25%24%
Draws63%22%41%33%13%24%
Loses13%56%35%44%63%53%

Form: Luparense: DDLWLDLDWLLWWDDLD • Adriese: DDLLDLWLLWWLLDLLW

League goals

Metric Luparense Adriese
HATHAT
GF total961510717
GF avg1.10.70.91.10.91.0
GA total81624141024
GA avg1.01.81.41.61.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLuparenseAdriese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%82%59%76%
1.529%29%29%47%
2.512%18%12%18%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLuparenseAdriese
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score369347

Penalties

MetricLuparenseAdriese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLuparenseAdriese
Wins22
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-20-3
Biggest losses0-25-01-33-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricLuparenseAdriese
Form60%40%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h62%38%
Goals54%46%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Luparense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away3.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Luparense = 1.12 (league 1.28), Adriese = 0.81 (league 1.12)

Adriese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luparense 0 14.6% 11.8% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.3% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.1% 7.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.5% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 26.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1