Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Campo Da Calcio Macrelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.32) 0.95 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.3% 35.9% 44.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.1%
0 - 1
22.0%
1 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Castelfidardo Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sammaurese 0 23.1% 22.0% 10.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1%
1 11.9% 11.3% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSammaureseCastelfidardo Calcio
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack13%20%
Defense27%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sammaurese Castelfidardo Calcio
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins0%13%6%13%11%12%
Draws33%0%18%13%11%12%
Loses67%88%76%75%78%76%

Form: Sammaurese: WLLLLDLLLLDLLLLLD • Castelfidardo Calcio: LLLLLDLLLLWLLDLWL

League goals

Metric Sammaurese Castelfidardo Calcio
HATHAT
GF total46106612
GF avg0.40.80.60.80.70.7
GA total142640201535
GA avg1.63.32.42.51.72.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSammaureseCastelfidardo Calcio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.535%88%53%94%
1.518%65%18%59%
2.56%41%0%35%
3.50%24%0%6%
4.50%6%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSammaureseCastelfidardo Calcio
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score6511358

Penalties

MetricSammaureseCastelfidardo Calcio
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricSammaureseCastelfidardo Calcio
Wins11
Draws11
Losses55

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-31-01-2
Biggest losses1-47-01-63-1
Goals For2322
Goals Against4763

Model comparison

MetricSammaureseCastelfidardo Calcio
Form20%80%
Att40%60%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total42.4%57.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Castelfidardo Calcio

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.64 @ 1xBet
Draw3.55 @ Superbet
Away2.07 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Superbet
No1.86 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sammaurese = 0.51 (league 1.32), Castelfidardo Calcio = 0.95 (league 1.18)

Castelfidardo Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sammaurese 0 23.1% 22.0% 10.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1%
1 11.9% 11.3% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.3% · Draw 35.9% · Away win 44.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1