Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Centro Sportivo Vittorio Bachelet
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.54) 1.55 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.7% 25.4% 48.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Nocerina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trastevere 0 7.4% 11.5% 8.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.8% 12.1% 9.4% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.1% 6.4% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTrastevereNocerina
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack63%42%
Defense53%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Trastevere Nocerina
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins44%50%47%38%56%47%
Draws44%38%41%50%22%35%
Loses11%13%12%13%22%18%

Form: Trastevere: DDWWWWWDWWLLDWDDD • Nocerina: DDLWWWLDWWWWWDDDL

League goals

Metric Trastevere Nocerina
HATHAT
GF total161531121426
GF avg1.81.91.81.51.61.5
GA total119209817
GA avg1.21.11.21.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTrastevereNocerina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%82%100%71%
1.559%29%41%24%
2.524%6%12%6%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTrastevereNocerina
HATHAT
Clean sheets213145
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricTrastevereNocerina
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricTrastevereNocerina
Wins55
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-12-11-23-2
Goals For4323
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricTrastevereNocerina
Form54%46%
Att60%40%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : Trastevere or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Superbet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.32 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Superbet
No2.05 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Trastevere = 1.05 (league 1.54), Nocerina = 1.55 (league 1.24)

Nocerina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trastevere 0 7.4% 11.5% 8.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.8% 12.1% 9.4% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.1% 6.4% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.7% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 48.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1