Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Oreste Granillo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.34) 0.92 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.9% 22.5% 18.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.6%
2 - 0
10.7%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
CastrumFavara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reggina 0 6.3% 5.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.6% 10.7% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.6% 6.1% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRegginaCastrumFavara
Played55
Form100%33%
Attack70%50%
Defense100%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 08 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Reggina CastrumFavara
HATHAT
Played89178816
Wins50%44%47%38%13%25%
Draws0%33%18%50%13%31%
Loses50%22%35%13%75%44%

Form: Reggina: LWDLDWLLWLDLWWWWW • CastrumFavara: WDWLLDLWLDLDWLLD

League goals

Metric Reggina CastrumFavara
HATHAT
GF total108188816
GF avg1.30.91.11.01.01.0
GA total851351520
GA avg1.00.60.80.61.91.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRegginaCastrumFavara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%47%75%75%
1.529%18%25%31%
2.50%12%0%13%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRegginaCastrumFavara
HATHAT
Clean sheets459404
Failed to score224224

Penalties

MetricRegginaCastrumFavara
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricRegginaCastrumFavara
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-01-2
Biggest losses2-32-11-24-1
Goals For2222
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricRegginaCastrumFavara
Form75%25%
Att58%42%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h67%33%
Goals64%36%
Total65.8%34.2%

Advice: Double chance : Reggina or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Superbet
Draw5.25 @ Unibet
Away10.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Superbet
No1.65 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Reggina = 1.84 (league 1.34), CastrumFavara = 0.92 (league 1.09)

CastrumFavara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reggina 0 6.3% 5.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.6% 10.7% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.6% 6.1% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.9% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 18.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1