Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:00 • Carrow Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.37) 1.13 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.6% 31.3% 45.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.6%
0 - 0
15.5%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Stoke City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Norwich 0 15.5% 17.6% 10.0% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.3% 12.8% 7.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.1% 4.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNorwichStoke City
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack60%40%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Norwich Stoke City
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins25%23%24%50%38%44%
Draws8%38%24%17%15%16%
Loses67%38%52%33%46%40%

Form: Norwich: LWLWDLDLLLLLLDLLDWLDWDWLW • Stoke City: WWWLWLDDDWLWWWLLWLLLWLDLW

League goals

Metric Norwich Stoke City
HATHAT
GF total121628181230
GF avg1.01.21.11.50.91.2
GA total172037101323
GA avg1.41.51.50.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNorwichStoke City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%92%64%64%
1.528%36%28%20%
2.54%16%20%4%
3.50%4%4%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNorwichStoke City
HATHAT
Clean sheets112459
Failed to score415369

Penalties

MetricNorwichStoke City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricNorwichStoke City
Wins13
Draws13
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-25-10-3
Biggest losses0-24-11-24-0
Goals For3253
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricNorwichStoke City
Form59%41%
Att60%40%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h85%15%
Goals71%29%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Norwich or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Unibet
Draw3.64 @ Pinnacle
Away3.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ SBO
Under 2.51.94 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Norwich = 0.73 (league 1.37), Stoke City = 1.13 (league 1.11)

Stoke City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Norwich 0 15.5% 17.6% 10.0% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.3% 12.8% 7.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.1% 4.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.6% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 45.0%

vtt 7 , vtd1