League One — England
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:00 • Cardiff City Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
2.49 (league 1.44) 1.39 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 18.3% 19.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
3 - 1
7.4%
1 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Wigan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 2.1% 2.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.1% 7.1% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.4% 8.9% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.3% 7.4% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
4 3.3% 4.6% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCardiffWigan
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack90%50%
Defense30%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cardiff Wigan
HATHAT
Played121123111223
Wins83%45%65%45%17%30%
Draws0%27%13%27%50%39%
Loses17%27%22%27%33%30%

Form: Cardiff: WDWWWWDLWLWWLLWWWWWLWWD • Wigan: WLWLDDDWLLDLWDDWDWDLLWD

League goals

Metric Cardiff Wigan
HATHAT
GF total291241121426
GF avg2.41.11.81.11.21.1
GA total1592481826
GA avg1.30.81.00.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCardiffWigan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%61%74%74%
1.548%26%30%30%
2.530%17%9%4%
3.513%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCardiffWigan
HATHAT
Clean sheets459516
Failed to score123426

Penalties

MetricCardiffWigan
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCardiffWigan
Wins51
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-33-00-2
Biggest losses1-33-10-24-1
Goals For4332
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricCardiffWigan
Form67%33%
Att64%36%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h62%38%
Goals59%41%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Double chance : Cardiff or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ 188Bet
Draw3.99 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cardiff = 2.49 (league 1.44), Wigan = 1.39 (league 1.12)

Wigan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 2.1% 2.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.1% 7.1% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.4% 8.9% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.3% 7.4% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
4 3.3% 4.6% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 19.8%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1