Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:00 • Estádio Da Tapadinha
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.24) 0.90 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.4% 27.7% 24.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Academica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético CP 0 10.4% 9.4% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.2% 12.8% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.7% 8.7% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.4% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlético CPAcademica
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack23%41%
Defense86%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlético CP Academica
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins43%43%43%50%17%36%
Draws14%14%14%38%50%43%
Loses43%43%43%13%33%21%

Form: Atlético CP: LLWWLLWDLDLWWW • Academica: LWLWWLWDDDDDDW

League goals

Metric Atlético CP Academica
HATHAT
GF total941314822
GF avg1.30.60.91.81.31.6
GA total55107815
GA avg0.70.70.70.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlético CPAcademica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%50%79%71%
1.514%21%43%21%
2.57%0%29%14%
3.57%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlético CPAcademica
HATHAT
Clean sheets437314
Failed to score235213

Penalties

MetricAtlético CPAcademica
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricAtlético CPAcademica
Wins22
Draws16
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-14-10-2
Biggest losses1-22-00-12-1
Goals For4143
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricAtlético CPAcademica
Form59%41%
Att36%64%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total50.7%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : Atlético CP or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.19 @ Pinnacle
Away2.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atlético CP = 1.36 (league 1.24), Academica = 0.90 (league 1.02)

Academica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético CP 0 10.4% 9.4% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.2% 12.8% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.7% 8.7% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.4% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.4% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 24.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1