1. Division — Cyprus
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 17:00 • Alphamega Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.50) 1.75 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.7% 22.8% 62.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.6%
0 - 2
13.6%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Pafos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apollon Limassol 0 8.9% 15.6% 13.6% 8.0% 3.5% 1.2%
1 6.0% 10.4% 9.1% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 2.0% 3.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricApollon LimassolPafos
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack38%92%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Apollon Limassol Pafos
HATHAT
Played78157714
Wins43%50%47%86%71%79%
Draws14%25%20%0%14%7%
Loses43%25%33%14%14%14%

Form: Apollon Limassol: LLWWLWWDLWWDDLW • Pafos: WLWWWWWLWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Apollon Limassol Pafos
HATHAT
GF total71017161430
GF avg1.01.31.12.32.02.1
GA total79163710
GA avg1.01.11.10.41.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineApollon LimassolPafos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%47%93%50%
1.533%47%64%21%
2.57%13%36%0%
3.50%0%21%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricApollon LimassolPafos
HATHAT
Clean sheets448437
Failed to score314101

Penalties

MetricApollon LimassolPafos
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricApollon LimassolPafos
Wins25
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-02-4
Biggest losses0-33-10-12-1
Goals For3244
Goals Against3312

Model comparison

MetricApollon LimassolPafos
Form38%62%
Att29%71%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total32.7%67.3%

Advice: Winner : Pafos

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.00 @ Bet365
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Apollon Limassol = 0.67 (league 1.50), Pafos = 1.75 (league 1.14)

Pafos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Apollon Limassol 0 8.9% 15.6% 13.6% 8.0% 3.5% 1.2%
1 6.0% 10.4% 9.1% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 2.0% 3.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.7% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 62.5%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1