Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Morelos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.25 (league 1.62) 0.94 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.1% 18.7% 14.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Correcaminos Uat
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monarcas 0 4.1% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.3% 8.7% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.8% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.8% 7.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 4.4% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonarcasCorrecaminos Uat
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack33%20%
Defense80%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monarcas Correcaminos Uat
HATHAT
Played99187714
Wins44%22%33%14%14%14%
Draws33%44%39%14%43%29%
Loses22%33%28%71%43%57%

Form: Monarcas: DWLWDWLLLDWLWDWDDD • Correcaminos Uat: DDLWLLLDLLWLLD

League goals

Metric Monarcas Correcaminos Uat
HATHAT
GF total1311248816
GF avg1.41.21.31.11.11.1
GA total81624171835
GA avg0.91.81.32.42.62.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonarcasCorrecaminos Uat
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%86%86%
1.544%33%21%64%
2.522%22%7%36%
3.50%6%0%36%
4.50%6%0%21%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonarcasCorrecaminos Uat
HATHAT
Clean sheets426112
Failed to score426112

Penalties

MetricMonarcasCorrecaminos Uat
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricMonarcasCorrecaminos Uat
Wins11
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-31-00-2
Biggest losses0-25-03-65-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3565

Model comparison

MetricMonarcasCorrecaminos Uat
Form64%36%
Att63%38%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total62.3%37.8%

Advice: Double chance : Monarcas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.95 @ 188Bet
Away6.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.32 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Unibet
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monarcas = 2.25 (league 1.62), Correcaminos Uat = 0.94 (league 1.05)

Correcaminos Uat
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monarcas 0 4.1% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.3% 8.7% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.8% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.8% 7.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 4.4% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.1% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 14.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1