Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 11:00 • Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.32) 1.19 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.9% 27.0% 33.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
10.8%
0 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Felgueiras 1932
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portimonense 0 8.3% 9.9% 5.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.8% 12.8% 7.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.0% 8.3% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortimonenseFelgueiras 1932
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack38%54%
Defense46%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portimonense Felgueiras 1932
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins13%50%31%56%14%38%
Draws38%0%19%11%43%25%
Loses50%50%50%33%43%38%

Form: Portimonense: WLDWLWDLLDLLLLWW • Felgueiras 1932: LLDWWLWDLLDDLWWW

League goals

Metric Portimonense Felgueiras 1932
HATHAT
GF total7111812719
GF avg0.91.41.11.31.01.2
GA total11152691322
GA avg1.41.91.61.01.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortimonenseFelgueiras 1932
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%88%69%81%
1.525%44%38%44%
2.56%19%13%13%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortimonenseFelgueiras 1932
HATHAT
Clean sheets022303
Failed to score213235

Penalties

MetricPortimonenseFelgueiras 1932
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricPortimonenseFelgueiras 1932
Wins12
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-33-12-3
Biggest losses0-24-11-33-0
Goals For2333
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricPortimonenseFelgueiras 1932
Form38%63%
Att42%58%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total52.7%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Portimonense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ Dafabet
Away2.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ SBO
Under 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Portimonense = 1.30 (league 1.32), Felgueiras 1932 = 1.19 (league 1.18)

Felgueiras 1932
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portimonense 0 8.3% 9.9% 5.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.8% 12.8% 7.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.0% 8.3% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.9% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 33.7%

vtt 2 , vtd1