La Liga — Spain
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:00 • Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.48) 0.52 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.6% 41.5% 23.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.8%
1 - 0
20.5%
0 - 1
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
Mallorca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 29.8% 15.5% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.5% 10.7% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.1% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRayo VallecanoMallorca
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack17%58%
Defense42%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rayo Vallecano Mallorca
HATHAT
Played810189918
Wins13%30%22%33%11%22%
Draws75%10%39%44%22%33%
Loses13%60%39%22%67%44%

Form: Rayo Vallecano: WLDLDLLWWWLDDDLDLD • Mallorca: LDLLDLWLWDLWLDDWDL

League goals

Metric Rayo Vallecano Mallorca
HATHAT
GF total591411920
GF avg0.60.90.81.21.01.1
GA total51621111526
GA avg0.61.61.21.21.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRayo VallecanoMallorca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%67%78%83%
1.517%22%22%44%
2.511%17%11%17%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRayo VallecanoMallorca
HATHAT
Clean sheets336213
Failed to score369134

Penalties

MetricRayo VallecanoMallorca
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricRayo VallecanoMallorca
Wins31
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-33-11-3
Biggest losses0-14-00-33-0
Goals For1333
Goals Against1433

Model comparison

MetricRayo VallecanoMallorca
Form33%67%
Att22%78%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h15%85%
Goals27%73%
Total33.2%66.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mallorca and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ 188Bet
Draw3.34 @ 1xBet
Away4.85 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ Pinnacle
No1.68 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rayo Vallecano = 0.69 (league 1.48), Mallorca = 0.52 (league 1.15)

Mallorca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 29.8% 15.5% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.5% 10.7% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.1% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.6% · Draw 41.5% · Away win 23.9%

vtt 7 , vtd1