Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Helvia Recina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.31) 2.04 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.1% 20.9% 59.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
10.0%
0 - 2
9.8%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Ostia Mare
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maceratese 0 4.7% 9.6% 9.8% 6.7% 3.4% 1.4%
1 4.8% 9.8% 10.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.4%
2 2.4% 5.0% 5.0% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMacerateseOstia Mare
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack56%19%
Defense63%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maceratese Ostia Mare
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins67%11%39%56%89%72%
Draws0%22%11%33%0%17%
Loses33%67%50%11%11%11%

Form: Maceratese: LLLWWLWLLDWLWDWLWL • Ostia Mare: WWWWWWWWWDWWWDLWDL

League goals

Metric Maceratese Ostia Mare
HATHAT
GF total171027171835
GF avg1.91.11.51.92.01.9
GA total1115265611
GA avg1.21.71.40.60.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMacerateseOstia Mare
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%78%83%50%
1.544%50%56%6%
2.511%6%33%6%
3.56%6%6%0%
4.50%6%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMacerateseOstia Mare
HATHAT
Clean sheets314459
Failed to score112303

Penalties

MetricMacerateseOstia Mare
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricMacerateseOstia Mare
Wins29
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-17-00-3
Biggest losses1-52-10-13-1
Goals For4273
Goals Against5213

Model comparison

MetricMacerateseOstia Mare
Form58%42%
Att75%25%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total48.4%51.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ostia Mare

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Dafabet
Draw3.12 @ Marathonbet
Away2.15 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.81 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Marathonbet
No2.00 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maceratese = 1.01 (league 1.31), Ostia Mare = 2.04 (league 1.18)

Ostia Mare
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maceratese 0 4.7% 9.6% 9.8% 6.7% 3.4% 1.4%
1 4.8% 9.8% 10.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.4%
2 2.4% 5.0% 5.0% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.1% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 59.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1