Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio San Filippo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.35) 0.56 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.1% 38.0% 22.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.0%
1 - 0
20.7%
0 - 1
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Sancataldese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Messina 0 25.0% 14.0% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 11.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.6% 4.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMessinaSancataldese
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack11%37%
Defense79%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Messina Sancataldese
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins44%33%39%40%13%28%
Draws33%44%39%30%13%22%
Loses22%22%22%30%75%50%

Form: Messina: DWLWDDWDWLDWLDWWDL • Sancataldese: LLDLWDWLLLWLDWDLWL

League goals

Metric Messina Sancataldese
HATHAT
GF total691512820
GF avg0.71.00.81.21.01.1
GA total51015111324
GA avg0.61.10.81.11.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMessinaSancataldese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%56%67%83%
1.522%17%28%33%
2.56%6%17%17%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMessinaSancataldese
HATHAT
Clean sheets538303
Failed to score448336

Penalties

MetricMessinaSancataldese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMessinaSancataldese
Wins21
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-33-01-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-32-0
Goals For2333
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricMessinaSancataldese
Form53%47%
Att22%78%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Messina or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Betano
Draw3.22 @ Pinnacle
Away4.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Marathonbet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Messina = 0.83 (league 1.35), Sancataldese = 0.56 (league 1.07)

Sancataldese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Messina 0 25.0% 14.0% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 11.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.6% 4.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.1% · Draw 38.0% · Away win 22.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1