Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Valentino Giordano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.34) 0.92 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.6% 24.6% 21.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Paternò
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gelbison 0 7.7% 7.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.7% 11.7% 5.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.6% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGelbisonPaternò
Played55
Form60%13%
Attack64%9%
Defense45%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gelbison Paternò
HATHAT
Played8101810818
Wins25%40%33%20%0%11%
Draws13%40%28%30%25%28%
Loses63%20%39%50%75%61%

Form: Gelbison: WDLWDDDLWLDLLLWWWL • Paternò: LDLDDWLLWLLLLLLDLD

League goals

Metric Gelbison Paternò
HATHAT
GF total9918549
GF avg1.10.91.00.50.50.5
GA total16824141630
GA avg2.00.81.31.42.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGelbisonPaternò
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%61%39%72%
1.528%39%6%56%
2.56%17%6%28%
3.50%6%0%11%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGelbisonPaternò
HATHAT
Clean sheets167415
Failed to score2467411

Penalties

MetricGelbisonPaternò
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricGelbisonPaternò
Wins31
Draws32
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-2
Biggest losses2-63-01-44-1
Goals For2331
Goals Against6344

Model comparison

MetricGelbisonPaternò
Form82%18%
Att88%13%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h88%13%
Goals100%0%
Total75.2%25.2%

Advice: Double chance : Gelbison or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gelbison = 1.64 (league 1.34), Paternò = 0.92 (league 1.09)

Paternò
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gelbison 0 7.7% 7.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.7% 11.7% 5.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.6% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.6% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 21.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1