Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
6.09 (league 1.63) 0.60 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.5% 1.2% 0.4%
best score tips
5 - 0
8.7%
4 - 0
7.1%
5 - 1
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Mtarfa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zurrieq 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.1% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.7% 5.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZurrieqMtarfa
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack43%24%
Defense67%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.418 | 3.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

8.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

68%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zurrieq Mtarfa
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%60%40%20%0%10%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses80%40%60%80%100%90%

Form: Zurrieq: WLLLWLWLWL • Mtarfa: LLLLLLLWLL

League goals

Metric Zurrieq Mtarfa
HATHAT
GF total8917527
GF avg1.61.81.71.00.40.7
GA total13518103141
GA avg2.61.01.82.06.24.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZurrieqMtarfa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%30%100%
1.540%40%20%90%
2.530%30%10%60%
3.520%20%10%50%
4.50%10%0%30%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZurrieqMtarfa
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score112347

Penalties

MetricZurrieqMtarfa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricZurrieqMtarfa
Wins11
Draws00
Losses37

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-44-1—
Biggest losses1-52-10-38-0
Goals For4442
Goals Against5238

Model comparison

MetricZurrieqMtarfa
Form67%33%
Att64%36%
Def72%28%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total73.3%26.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Zurrieq and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.14 @ Dafabet
Draw10.00 @ Betfair
Away20.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.67 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zurrieq = 6.09 (league 1.63), Mtarfa = 0.60 (league 1.73)

Mtarfa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zurrieq 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.1% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.7% 5.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.5% · Draw 1.2% · Away win 0.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1