Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 15:45 • Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.71) 1.30 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.9% 25.0% 32.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
9.0%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Heracles
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Rotterdam 0 6.0% 7.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.0% 11.8% 7.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 8.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.5% 4.5% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSparta RotterdamHeracles
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack25%56%
Defense56%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sparta Rotterdam Heracles
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins33%50%41%38%11%24%
Draws22%0%12%13%11%12%
Loses44%50%47%50%78%65%

Form: Sparta Rotterdam: LWWLWLLDWWLLDLWLW • Heracles: LLLLLLWLLLWWWDDLL

League goals

Metric Sparta Rotterdam Heracles
HATHAT
GF total991818826
GF avg1.01.11.12.30.91.5
GA total181331212344
GA avg2.01.61.82.62.62.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSparta RotterdamHeracles
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%65%65%94%
1.524%41%29%76%
2.512%41%24%41%
3.50%18%12%29%
4.50%12%6%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSparta RotterdamHeracles
HATHAT
Clean sheets246101
Failed to score325246

Penalties

MetricSparta RotterdamHeracles
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricSparta RotterdamHeracles
Wins23
Draws12
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-38-21-2
Biggest losses1-56-10-74-0
Goals For3383
Goals Against5674

Model comparison

MetricSparta RotterdamHeracles
Form58%42%
Att31%69%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total45.8%54.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Heracles

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Unibet
Away4.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.29 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.39 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sparta Rotterdam = 1.52 (league 1.71), Heracles = 1.30 (league 1.38)

Heracles
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Rotterdam 0 6.0% 7.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.0% 11.8% 7.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 8.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.5% 4.5% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.9% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 32.4%

vtt 5 , vtd1