Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 17:30 • Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.47) 1.14 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.9% 31.8% 48.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.7%
0 - 0
17.4%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
AEK Athens FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aris Thessalonikis 0 17.4% 19.7% 11.2% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.7% 12.1% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAris ThessalonikisAEK Athens FC
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack33%100%
Defense58%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.815 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aris Thessalonikis AEK Athens FC
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%38%33%88%71%80%
Draws57%13%33%0%14%7%
Loses14%50%33%13%14%13%

Form: Aris Thessalonikis: WLWWDLDDLDLWLDW • AEK Athens FC: WWWDWWLLWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Aris Thessalonikis AEK Athens FC
HATHAT
GF total6713121426
GF avg0.90.90.91.52.01.7
GA total511164711
GA avg0.71.41.10.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAris ThessalonikisAEK Athens FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%87%47%
1.520%27%40%27%
2.50%13%27%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAris ThessalonikisAEK Athens FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets325538
Failed to score325112

Penalties

MetricAris ThessalonikisAEK Athens FC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricAris ThessalonikisAEK Athens FC
Wins23
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-10-5
Biggest losses0-23-00-22-0
Goals For2245
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricAris ThessalonikisAEK Athens FC
Form32%68%
Att21%79%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h15%85%
Goals13%88%
Total26.3%73.8%

Advice: Winner : AEK Athens FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.60 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away1.87 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Unibet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aris Thessalonikis = 0.61 (league 1.47), AEK Athens FC = 1.14 (league 1.23)

AEK Athens FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aris Thessalonikis 0 17.4% 19.7% 11.2% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.7% 12.1% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.9% · Draw 31.8% · Away win 48.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1