Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 16:30 • Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.23) 0.81 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.8% 38.8% 39.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.4%
0 - 1
21.4%
1 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Gubbio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambenedettese 0 26.4% 21.4% 8.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.7% 11.2% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSambenedetteseGubbio
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack40%10%
Defense30%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sambenedettese Gubbio
HATHAT
Played9101991019
Wins22%20%21%11%30%21%
Draws22%50%37%78%30%53%
Loses56%30%42%11%40%26%

Form: Sambenedettese: WDLDLWWWLLLLDDDLDLD • Gubbio: WDDWWLDDLLWDDDDDLDL

League goals

Metric Sambenedettese Gubbio
HATHAT
GF total711188816
GF avg0.81.10.90.90.80.8
GA total1011219817
GA avg1.11.11.11.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSambenedetteseGubbio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%84%63%68%
1.521%26%11%16%
2.55%0%11%5%
3.55%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSambenedetteseGubbio
HATHAT
Clean sheets213336
Failed to score527347

Penalties

MetricSambenedetteseGubbio
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSambenedetteseGubbio
Wins32
Draws35
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-21-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-10-22-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricSambenedetteseGubbio
Form50%50%
Att80%20%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h75%25%
Goals60%40%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sambenedettese or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.00 @ Dafabet
Away3.25 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.49 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ 188Bet
No1.71 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sambenedettese = 0.52 (league 1.23), Gubbio = 0.81 (league 1.08)

Gubbio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambenedettese 0 26.4% 21.4% 8.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.7% 11.2% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.8% · Draw 38.8% · Away win 39.4%

vtt 2 , vtd1