Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.51) 0.78 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.1% 27.1% 20.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.7%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Siracusa
0 1 2 3 4 5
SS Monopoli 0 11.0% 8.6% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.7% 12.2% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 8.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.3% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSS MonopoliSiracusa
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack50%71%
Defense64%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SS Monopoli Siracusa
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins30%50%40%45%11%30%
Draws40%20%30%18%11%15%
Loses30%30%30%36%78%55%

Form: SS Monopoli: DWLWWDLDLWWWDLLDDLWW • Siracusa: LLLLLWLLLLWLWWDLDDWW

League goals

Metric SS Monopoli Siracusa
HATHAT
GF total12122419625
GF avg1.21.21.21.70.71.3
GA total121224141630
GA avg1.21.21.21.31.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSS MonopoliSiracusa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%65%95%
1.535%30%35%40%
2.510%10%20%15%
3.50%5%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSS MonopoliSiracusa
HATHAT
Clean sheets145101
Failed to score325347

Penalties

MetricSS MonopoliSiracusa
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricSS MonopoliSiracusa
Wins32
Draws22
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-11-2
Biggest losses0-24-00-33-1
Goals For3342
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricSS MonopoliSiracusa
Form50%50%
Att41%59%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total56.4%43.6%

Advice: Double chance : SS Monopoli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Dafabet
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away4.03 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.71 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SS Monopoli = 1.43 (league 1.51), Siracusa = 0.78 (league 1.08)

Siracusa
0 1 2 3 4 5
SS Monopoli 0 11.0% 8.6% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.7% 12.2% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 8.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.3% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.1% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 20.4%

vtt 5 , vtd1