Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 20:00 • Campo Cha das Padeiras
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.23) 0.42 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.3% 52.0% 24.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
44.4%
0 - 1
18.4%
1 - 0
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
Atlético CP
0 1 2 3 4 5
União Santarém 0 44.4% 18.4% 3.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.6% 7.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnião SantarémAtlético CP
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack42%42%
Defense83%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

44%
FT probability

2.5+

31%
FT probability

3.5+

22%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric União Santarém Atlético CP
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%38%33%38%43%40%
Draws43%25%33%13%14%13%
Loses29%38%33%50%43%47%

Form: União Santarém: WLDLLDWLWLDDDWW • Atlético CP: LLWWLLWDLDLWWWL

League goals

Metric União Santarém Atlético CP
HATHAT
GF total571210414
GF avg0.70.90.81.30.60.9
GA total57129514
GA avg0.70.90.81.10.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnião SantarémAtlético CP
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%67%53%
1.520%13%13%27%
2.50%7%7%7%
3.50%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnião SantarémAtlético CP
HATHAT
Clean sheets336437
Failed to score246235

Penalties

MetricUnião SantarémAtlético CP
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricUnião SantarémAtlético CP
Wins13
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-24-00-1
Biggest losses1-23-01-42-0
Goals For1241
Goals Against2342

Model comparison

MetricUnião SantarémAtlético CP
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h67%33%
Goals67%33%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : União Santarém or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.73 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.46 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): União Santarém = 0.40 (league 1.23), Atlético CP = 0.42 (league 1.01)

Atlético CP
0 1 2 3 4 5
União Santarém 0 44.4% 18.4% 3.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.6% 7.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.3% · Draw 52.0% · Away win 24.6%

vtt 3 , vtd1