Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 21:30 •
Unidad Deportiva Chapultepec
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.53)
4.75 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.3% | 4.5% | 59.1% |
best score tips
0 - 4
7.4%
0 - 5
7.1%
1 - 4
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Durango | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guerreros | 0 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guerreros | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 87% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 20 | 4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
78%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guerreros | Durango | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| Wins | 57% | 33% | 46% | 60% | 88% | 77% |
| Draws | 14% | 0% | 8% | 20% | 0% | 8% |
| Loses | 29% | 67% | 46% | 20% | 13% | 15% |
Form: Guerreros: LWLDLWLLWWLWW • Durango: WWLWWWLWWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Guerreros | Durango | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 9 | 25 | 14 | 27 | 41 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 3.2 |
| GA total | 11 | 13 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guerreros | Durango | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 92% | 92% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 62% | 38% | 77% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 23% | 54% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 15% | 46% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 15% | 38% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guerreros | Durango | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guerreros | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guerreros | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | 4-5 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guerreros | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 33.5% | 66.5% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Durango and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guerreros = 0.90 (league 1.53), Durango = 4.75 (league 1.14)
| Durango | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guerreros | 0 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.3% · Draw 4.5% · Away win 59.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1