Super League — Kenya
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 08:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.25) 0.31 (league 0.78)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.2% 60.1% 20.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
55.1%
0 - 1
17.0%
1 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Luanda Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kibera Black Stars 0 55.1% 17.0% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.9% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKibera Black StarsLuanda Villa
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack31%38%
Defense77%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

36%
FT probability

2.5+

25%
FT probability

3.5+

18%
FT probability

BTTS

46%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kibera Black Stars Luanda Villa
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%50%47%38%43%40%
Draws14%13%13%38%0%20%
Loses43%38%40%25%57%40%

Form: Kibera Black Stars: LWWWDWLLLLLWWWD • Luanda Villa: DLLWLLWLLWWDWDW

League goals

Metric Kibera Black Stars Luanda Villa
HATHAT
GF total47118311
GF avg0.60.90.71.00.40.7
GA total47116410
GA avg0.60.90.70.80.60.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKibera Black StarsLuanda Villa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%53%47%60%
1.520%20%20%7%
2.57%0%7%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKibera Black StarsLuanda Villa
HATHAT
Clean sheets347336
Failed to score448448

Penalties

MetricKibera Black StarsLuanda Villa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricKibera Black StarsLuanda Villa
Wins32
Draws11
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-10-1
Biggest losses0-12-00-21-0
Goals For2331
Goals Against1221

Model comparison

MetricKibera Black StarsLuanda Villa
Form48%52%
Att44%56%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h9%91%
Goals14%86%
Total31.2%68.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Luanda Villa and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ Dafabet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away4.36 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Betfair
No1.57 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kibera Black Stars = 0.29 (league 1.25), Luanda Villa = 0.31 (league 0.78)

Luanda Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kibera Black Stars 0 55.1% 17.0% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.9% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.2% · Draw 60.1% · Away win 20.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1