Thu, Jan 15 2026 • 17:45 • Abe Lenstra Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.82) 4.20 (league 2.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.0% 9.9% 55.9%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.2%
1 - 3
5.9%
1 - 5
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Waalwijk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heerenveen 0 0.3% 1.2% 2.5% 3.6% 3.7% 3.1%
1 0.5% 2.0% 4.2% 5.9% 6.2% 5.2%
2 0.4% 1.6% 3.5% 4.8% 5.1% 4.3%
3 0.2% 0.9% 1.9% 2.7% 2.8% 2.3%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeerenveenWaalwijk
Played22
Form100%100%
Attack26%52%
Defense91%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 312 | 6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 12 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

9.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

9.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heerenveen Waalwijk
HATHAT
Played022112
Wins—100%100%100%100%100%
Draws—0%0%0%0%0%
Loses—0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Heerenveen: WW • Waalwijk: WW

League goals

Metric Heerenveen Waalwijk
HATHAT
GF total0663912
GF avg0.03.03.03.09.06.0
GA total022202
GA avg0.01.01.02.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeerenveenWaalwijk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%50%
1.5100%50%100%50%
2.5100%0%100%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%50%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeerenveenWaalwijk
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricHeerenveenWaalwijk
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHeerenveenWaalwijk
Wins22
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-33-20-9
Biggest losses————
Goals For0339
Goals Against0220

Model comparison

MetricHeerenveenWaalwijk
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h38%62%
Goals41%59%
Total42.4%57.6%

Advice: Combo Winner : Waalwijk and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ 188Bet
Draw6.00 @ Unibet
Away10.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.46 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Marathonbet
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heerenveen = 1.65 (league 1.82), Waalwijk = 4.20 (league 2.14)

Waalwijk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heerenveen 0 0.3% 1.2% 2.5% 3.6% 3.7% 3.1%
1 0.5% 2.0% 4.2% 5.9% 6.2% 5.2%
2 0.4% 1.6% 3.5% 4.8% 5.1% 4.3%
3 0.2% 0.9% 1.9% 2.7% 2.8% 2.3%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.0% · Draw 9.9% · Away win 55.9%

vtt 2 , vtd1