Bundesliga — Germany
Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 17:30 • Volkswagen Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.61) 0.99 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.8% 27.1% 26.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
FC St. Pauli
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfL Wolfsburg 0 9.3% 9.2% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.9% 12.7% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.9% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVfL WolfsburgFC St. Pauli
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack46%17%
Defense38%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 36 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric VfL Wolfsburg FC St. Pauli
HATHAT
Played88167815
Wins13%38%25%29%13%20%
Draws25%13%19%14%25%20%
Loses63%50%56%57%63%60%

Form: VfL Wolfsburg: WDDLLLLWLLLDWWLL • FC St. Pauli: DWWLLLLLLLLLDWD

League goals

Metric VfL Wolfsburg FC St. Pauli
HATHAT
GF total1311248513
GF avg1.61.41.51.10.60.9
GA total191736151126
GA avg2.42.12.32.11.41.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVfL WolfsburgFC St. Pauli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%94%53%87%
1.538%50%27%53%
2.531%44%7%27%
3.50%13%0%7%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVfL WolfsburgFC St. Pauli
HATHAT
Clean sheets011022
Failed to score213347

Penalties

MetricVfL WolfsburgFC St. Pauli
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricVfL WolfsburgFC St. Pauli
Wins22
Draws21
Losses49

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-10-2
Biggest losses0-38-10-43-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against4843

Model comparison

MetricVfL WolfsburgFC St. Pauli
Form58%42%
Att73%27%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : VfL Wolfsburg or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Betano
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away4.57 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.93 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): VfL Wolfsburg = 1.39 (league 1.61), FC St. Pauli = 0.99 (league 1.45)

FC St. Pauli
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfL Wolfsburg 0 9.3% 9.2% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.9% 12.7% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.9% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.8% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 26.7%

vtt 4 , vtd1