Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 19:45 • Tynecastle Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.77 (league 1.52) 0.56 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.8% 11.7% 5.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.7%
3 - 0
12.6%
1 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heart Of Midlothian 0 3.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.9% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.7% 7.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.6% 7.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.7% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeart Of MidlothianST Mirren
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack75%17%
Defense58%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heart Of Midlothian ST Mirren
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins70%60%65%27%11%20%
Draws30%20%25%36%22%30%
Loses0%20%10%36%67%50%

Form: Heart Of Midlothian: WWDWWWWWWDWDLDDWWWLW • ST Mirren: LDDDWWLLLDLLLDWWDLLL

League goals

Metric Heart Of Midlothian ST Mirren
HATHAT
GF total2118397916
GF avg2.11.82.00.61.00.8
GA total71017101828
GA avg0.71.00.90.92.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeart Of MidlothianST Mirren
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%55%55%75%
1.570%20%20%45%
2.530%10%5%20%
3.55%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeart Of MidlothianST Mirren
HATHAT
Clean sheets549505
Failed to score022639

Penalties

MetricHeart Of MidlothianST Mirren
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricHeart Of MidlothianST Mirren
Wins62
Draws23
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-01-2
Biggest losses—3-20-33-1
Goals For4323
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricHeart Of MidlothianST Mirren
Form75%25%
Att82%18%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h62%38%
Goals65%35%
Total70.2%29.8%

Advice: Winner : Heart Of Midlothian

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ 188Bet
Draw5.10 @ Unibet
Away11.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Betano
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heart Of Midlothian = 2.77 (league 1.52), ST Mirren = 0.56 (league 1.24)

ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heart Of Midlothian 0 3.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.9% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.7% 7.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.6% 7.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.7% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.8% · Draw 11.7% · Away win 5.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1