Liga MX — Mexico
Mon, Jan 12 2026 • 01:00 • Alfonso Lastras Ramirez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.54) 2.19 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.1% 19.5% 61.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 2
9.9%
1 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Tigres UANL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico San Luis 0 4.1% 9.0% 9.9% 7.2% 3.9% 1.7%
1 4.1% 9.0% 9.9% 7.2% 3.9% 1.7%
2 2.1% 4.5% 4.9% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
3 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico San LuisTigres UANL
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack67%75%
Defense25%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico San Luis Tigres UANL
HATHAT
Played8917121123
Wins13%44%29%67%36%52%
Draws13%0%6%25%45%35%
Loses75%56%65%8%18%13%

Form: Atletico San Luis: WLLLWLLDWLLLWWLLL • Tigres UANL: WWWLDWDDDWWDWWWDWLWDDWL

League goals

Metric Atletico San Luis Tigres UANL
HATHAT
GF total91625291544
GF avg1.11.81.52.41.41.9
GA total14152991524
GA avg1.81.71.70.81.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico San LuisTigres UANL
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%76%87%57%
1.535%53%43%26%
2.518%29%22%22%
3.56%12%17%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico San LuisTigres UANL
HATHAT
Clean sheets1347310
Failed to score202123

Penalties

MetricAtletico San LuisTigres UANL
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricAtletico San LuisTigres UANL
Wins23
Draws13
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-47-00-2
Biggest losses1-33-11-33-0
Goals For3474
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricAtletico San LuisTigres UANL
Form43%57%
Att47%53%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tigres UANL

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.55 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Betano
Away2.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ SBO
Under 2.51.93 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico San Luis = 1.00 (league 1.54), Tigres UANL = 2.19 (league 1.15)

Tigres UANL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico San Luis 0 4.1% 9.0% 9.9% 7.2% 3.9% 1.7%
1 4.1% 9.0% 9.9% 7.2% 3.9% 1.7%
2 2.1% 4.5% 4.9% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
3 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.1% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 61.9%

vtt 2 , vtd1