Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 13:30 •
Centro Sportivo G.Carbonchi
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.18)
1.52 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.1% | 25.8% | 57.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.2%
0 - 2
13.1%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Pistoiese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sasso Marconi Zola | 0 | 11.3% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sasso Marconi Zola | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 44% |
| Defense | 22% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sasso Marconi Zola | Pistoiese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 44% | 20% | 32% | 44% | 60% | 53% |
| Draws | 11% | 20% | 16% | 33% | 40% | 37% |
| Loses | 44% | 60% | 53% | 22% | 0% | 11% |
Form: Sasso Marconi Zola: LWLLLWLLDWWDLLLWLWD • Pistoiese: DWWWDDWDDWWWDLWLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Sasso Marconi Zola | Pistoiese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 8 | 20 | 12 | 16 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sasso Marconi Zola | Pistoiese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 74% | 79% | 47% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 32% | 37% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 16% | 21% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sasso Marconi Zola | Pistoiese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sasso Marconi Zola | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sasso Marconi Zola | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sasso Marconi Zola | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 40.3% | 59.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Pistoiese
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sasso Marconi Zola = 0.66 (league 1.18), Pistoiese = 1.52 (league 1.16)
| Pistoiese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sasso Marconi Zola | 0 | 11.3% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.1% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 57.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1