Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 • Anfield
Not Started
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Expected Goals
2.54 (league 1.53) 0.94 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.6% 16.2% 11.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.3%
3 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Burnley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool 0 3.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.8% 7.4% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.0% 9.3% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 7.9% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.4% 5.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLiverpoolBurnley
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack38%25%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Liverpool Burnley
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins60%36%48%18%10%14%
Draws20%27%24%27%10%19%
Loses20%36%29%55%80%67%

Form: Liverpool: WWWWWLLLLWLLWDDWWWDDD • Burnley: LWLLDLLWWLLLLLLLDDLLD

League goals

Metric Liverpool Burnley
HATHAT
GF total151732101222
GF avg1.51.51.50.91.21.0
GA total101828152641
GA avg1.01.61.31.42.62.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLiverpoolBurnley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%67%67%86%
1.552%48%33%67%
2.514%19%5%33%
3.55%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLiverpoolBurnley
HATHAT
Clean sheets437303
Failed to score224527

Penalties

MetricLiverpoolBurnley
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricLiverpoolBurnley
Wins52
Draws22
Losses47

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-22-02-3
Biggest losses0-33-01-35-1
Goals For4323
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricLiverpoolBurnley
Form75%25%
Att60%40%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h100%0%
Goals90%10%
Total72.6%27.4%

Advice: Double chance : Liverpool or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.26 @ 1xBet
Draw7.10 @ 188Bet
Away14.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.75 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Liverpool = 2.54 (league 1.53), Burnley = 0.94 (league 1.28)

Burnley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool 0 3.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.8% 7.4% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.0% 9.3% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 7.9% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.4% 5.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.6% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 11.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1