Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 •
Melbourne Stadium
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.52)
1.56 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.8% | 24.9% | 43.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Weston-super-Mare | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chelmsford City | 0 | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Weston-super-Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 33% | 43% |
| Defense | 62% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Weston-super-Mare | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 45% | 42% | 43% | 83% | 42% | 63% |
| Draws | 9% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 17% | 13% |
| Loses | 45% | 42% | 43% | 8% | 42% | 25% |
Form: Chelmsford City: WDLWDWLLWDLLWWWWLLLWLWL • Weston-super-Mare: LDWWWWWWWLWWDLWWLWDLWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Weston-super-Mare | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 15 | 28 | 23 | 16 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 17 | 13 | 30 | 5 | 19 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chelmsford City | Weston-super-Mare | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 65% | 88% | 54% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 39% | 42% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 13% | 21% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Weston-super-Mare | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Weston-super-Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Weston-super-Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-4 | 5-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Weston-super-Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 14% | 86% |
| Total | 33.8% | 66.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Weston-super-Mare
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chelmsford City = 1.27 (league 1.52), Weston-super-Mare = 1.56 (league 1.25)
| Weston-super-Mare | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chelmsford City | 0 | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.8% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 43.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1