Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal de Bragança
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.51)
0.26 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.8% | 46.5% | 12.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
39.2%
1 - 0
26.5%
0 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Celoricense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bragança | 0 | 39.2% | 10.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.5% | 6.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bragança | Celoricense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 47% |
| Attack | 55% | 36% |
| Defense | 82% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bragança | Celoricense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Wins | 71% | 43% | 57% | 57% | 20% | 42% |
| Draws | 29% | 14% | 21% | 14% | 40% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 43% | 21% | 29% | 40% | 33% |
Form: Bragança: DWWLWLWLWDWDWW • Celoricense: LWWWLDDWDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Bragança | Celoricense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bragança | Celoricense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 64% | 67% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 21% | 42% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 7% | 25% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bragança | Celoricense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bragança | Celoricense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bragança | Celoricense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bragança | Celoricense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 61% | 39% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 65.2% | 34.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Bragança or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bragança = 0.67 (league 1.51), Celoricense = 0.26 (league 1.07)
| Celoricense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bragança | 0 | 39.2% | 10.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.5% | 6.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.8% · Draw 46.5% · Away win 12.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1