Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 •
The Steves Taxis Stadium
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.65)
1.48 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.2% | 23.1% | 32.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Welling United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Canvey Island | 0 | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Canvey Island | Welling United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 60% |
| Attack | 14% | 50% |
| Defense | 29% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Canvey Island | Welling United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 27% | 8% | 17% | 25% | 27% | 26% |
| Draws | 27% | 15% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 45% | 77% | 63% | 75% | 73% | 74% |
Form: Canvey Island: LLLLLDLLLWDWDDLLLDWLLWLL • Welling United: LLLWLLWLLLWLLLLLLLWWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Canvey Island | Welling United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 7 | 20 | 11 | 14 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 19 | 26 | 45 | 23 | 26 | 49 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Canvey Island | Welling United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 92% | 70% | 96% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 63% | 26% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 21% | 9% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 4% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Canvey Island | Welling United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Canvey Island | Welling United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Canvey Island | Welling United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-0 | 1-4 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Canvey Island | Welling United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 32.4% | 67.6% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Welling United
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Canvey Island = 1.74 (league 1.65), Welling United = 1.48 (league 1.50)
| Welling United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Canvey Island | 0 | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.2% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 32.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1