Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 17:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Yaiza
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.63)
2.18 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.4% | 20.2% | 56.9% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
1 - 1
8.9%
0 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Las Palmas III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Unión Sur Yaiza | 0 | 3.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Las Palmas III |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 27% |
| Attack | 13% | 44% |
| Defense | 50% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Las Palmas III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 7 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 33% | 29% | 31% | 50% | 33% | 41% |
| Draws | 22% | 29% | 25% | 25% | 22% | 24% |
| Loses | 44% | 43% | 44% | 25% | 44% | 35% |
Form: Unión Sur Yaiza: WWLWDLWDWDLLLDLL • Las Palmas III: LLWLWDDWWWDWLWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Las Palmas III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 21 | 15 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 16 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Unión Sur Yaiza | Las Palmas III | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 75% | 76% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 31% | 41% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 19% | 41% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 29% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 18% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Las Palmas III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Las Palmas III |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Las Palmas III |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-4 | 6-1 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Las Palmas III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 41.8% | 58.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Las Palmas III
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Unión Sur Yaiza = 1.22 (league 1.63), Las Palmas III = 2.18 (league 0.94)
| Las Palmas III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Unión Sur Yaiza | 0 | 3.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.4% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 56.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1