Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.44) 1.58 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.4% 24.6% 43.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0 5.6% 8.8% 6.9% 3.7% 1.4% 0.5%
1 7.3% 11.5% 9.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.8% 7.5% 5.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.1% 3.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack75%50%
Defense50%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ironi Baka El Garbiya Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins86%13%47%13%43%27%
Draws0%38%20%50%29%40%
Loses14%50%33%38%29%33%

Form: Ironi Baka El Garbiya: DWWLWLWLLLDDWWW • Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: DDLDLLWLDWLWDWD

League goals

Metric Ironi Baka El Garbiya Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
HATHAT
GF total1972641115
GF avg2.70.91.70.51.61.0
GA total9122110515
GA avg1.31.51.41.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Migdal HaEmek
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%73%47%47%
1.553%40%20%33%
2.527%20%13%13%
3.57%7%13%7%
4.57%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Migdal HaEmek
HATHAT
Clean sheets224448
Failed to score033448

Penalties

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Wins21
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-11-00-5
Biggest losses1-23-00-42-0
Goals For5215
Goals Against4342

Model comparison

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Form58%42%
Att60%40%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h64%36%
Goals67%33%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Ironi Baka El Garbiya or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.43 @ Pinnacle
Away3.20 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 188Bet
No2.08 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ironi Baka El Garbiya = 1.31 (league 1.44), Hapoel Migdal HaEmek = 1.58 (league 1.32)

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0 5.6% 8.8% 6.9% 3.7% 1.4% 0.5%
1 7.3% 11.5% 9.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.8% 7.5% 5.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.1% 3.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.4% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 43.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1