Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 20:15 • Lezama Facilities
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.38) 1.30 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.9% 26.8% 37.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Real Avilés
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club II 0 8.0% 10.3% 6.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.8% 12.7% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.1% 7.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.5% 3.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic Club IIReal Avilés
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack78%56%
Defense22%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Club II Real Avilés
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins56%40%47%40%44%42%
Draws22%20%21%20%11%16%
Loses22%40%32%40%44%42%

Form: Athletic Club II: DDWWLDLLLDWWWWLLWWW • Real Avilés: LDWLWWWDLWWDLLWLWLL

League goals

Metric Athletic Club II Real Avilés
HATHAT
GF total91423101727
GF avg1.01.41.21.01.91.4
GA total61723131528
GA avg0.71.71.21.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic Club IIReal Avilés
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%53%68%74%
1.526%42%42%53%
2.511%21%21%21%
3.50%5%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic Club IIReal Avilés
HATHAT
Clean sheets639325
Failed to score213426

Penalties

MetricAthletic Club IIReal Avilés
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAthletic Club IIReal Avilés
Wins43
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-32-00-4
Biggest losses1-34-10-32-0
Goals For2334
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricAthletic Club IIReal Avilés
Form60%40%
Att58%42%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.5%46.5%

Advice: Double chance : Athletic Club II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ Dafabet
Draw3.39 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Athletic Club II = 1.23 (league 1.38), Real Avilés = 1.30 (league 1.03)

Real Avilés
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club II 0 8.0% 10.3% 6.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.8% 12.7% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.1% 7.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.5% 3.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.9% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 37.9%

vtt 3 , vtd1