Premier League
— Egypt
Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 19:30 •
Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.08)
1.71 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.8% | 23.0% | 63.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.8%
0 - 2
14.4%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Ahly | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| El Geish | 0 | 9.8% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | El Geish | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 87% |
| Attack | 29% | 47% |
| Defense | 76% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | El Geish | Al Ahly | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 22% | 20% | 21% | 70% | 44% | 58% |
| Draws | 33% | 40% | 37% | 20% | 56% | 37% |
| Loses | 44% | 40% | 42% | 10% | 0% | 5% |
Form: El Geish: DLWLDWLDLLLDLDDLDWW • Al Ahly: DWDLDWWWWWDDWDWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | El Geish | Al Ahly | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 9 | 14 | 23 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | El Geish | Al Ahly | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 47% | 68% | 84% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 16% | 32% | 47% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 16% | 26% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | El Geish | Al Ahly | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | El Geish | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | El Geish | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-2 | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | El Geish | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 34.5% | 65.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Al Ahly
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): El Geish = 0.61 (league 1.08), Al Ahly = 1.71 (league 1.05)
| Al Ahly | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| El Geish | 0 | 9.8% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.8% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 63.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1