Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 19:45 • Vicarage Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.10 (league 1.37) 0.62 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.8% 18.4% 9.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.5%
1 - 0
13.8%
3 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Portsmouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 6.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.8% 8.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.5% 9.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.2% 6.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWatfordPortsmouth
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack64%45%
Defense73%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Watford Portsmouth
HATHAT
Played141226131225
Wins57%25%42%38%17%28%
Draws29%33%31%23%33%28%
Loses14%42%27%38%50%44%

Form: Watford: LWDDLLWDWLWLWDDWDLWDDWWWWL • Portsmouth: WLDWDLLDWDLLLDLWLLLWDDWLW

League goals

Metric Watford Portsmouth
HATHAT
GF total23143714822
GF avg1.61.21.41.10.70.9
GA total141731142135
GA avg1.01.41.21.11.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWatfordPortsmouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%85%64%76%
1.546%31%20%36%
2.515%4%4%16%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWatfordPortsmouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets314336
Failed to score235459

Penalties

MetricWatfordPortsmouth
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricWatfordPortsmouth
Wins41
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-33-10-1
Biggest losses0-23-10-25-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against2325

Model comparison

MetricWatfordPortsmouth
Form60%40%
Att58%42%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total61.7%38.3%

Advice: Double chance : Watford or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ 188Bet
Draw3.75 @ Betano
Away5.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Watford = 2.10 (league 1.37), Portsmouth = 0.62 (league 1.13)

Portsmouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 6.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.8% 8.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.5% 9.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.2% 6.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.8% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 9.7%

vtt 3 , vtd1