Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 20:00 • New Balance Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.76) 0.16 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.6% 24.3% 3.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
28.8%
2 - 0
21.3%
0 - 0
19.5%
Score & goals probability table
Athletic Club
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta 0 19.5% 3.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.8% 4.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.3% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtalantaAthletic Club
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack62%31%
Defense85%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atalanta Athletic Club
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%67%67%33%0%17%
Draws33%0%17%33%33%33%
Loses0%33%17%33%67%50%

Form: Atalanta: LWDWWW • Athletic Club: LLWLDD

League goals

Metric Atalanta Athletic Club
HATHAT
GF total448314
GF avg1.31.31.31.00.30.7
GA total246369
GA avg0.71.31.01.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtalantaAthletic Club
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%50%33%67%
1.550%17%17%50%
2.517%17%17%17%
3.50%17%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtalantaAthletic Club
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricAtalantaAthletic Club
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAtalantaAthletic Club
Wins11
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-33-1—
Biggest losses—4-00-24-1
Goals For2331
Goals Against1424

Model comparison

MetricAtalantaAthletic Club
Form72%28%
Att67%33%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total76.5%23.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Atalanta or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Dafabet
Draw3.90 @ 1xBet
Away5.20 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.91 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atalanta = 1.48 (league 1.76), Athletic Club = 0.16 (league 1.34)

Athletic Club
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta 0 19.5% 3.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.8% 4.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.3% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.6% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 3.7%

vtt 2 , vtd1