Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 10:30 •
Larrakia Park
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.76)
0.75 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.7% | 40.2% | 37.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
28.1%
0 - 1
21.1%
1 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Darwin Hearts | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mindil Aces | 0 | 28.1% | 21.1% | 7.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mindil Aces | Darwin Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 100% |
| Attack | 70% | 100% |
| Defense | 50% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mindil Aces | Darwin Hearts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 40% | 40% | 40% | 73% | 44% | 60% |
| Draws | 40% | 20% | 30% | 0% | 11% | 5% |
| Loses | 20% | 40% | 30% | 27% | 44% | 35% |
Form: Mindil Aces: DWLLWWWWDLLWLWLWDDDD • Darwin Hearts: WDLWWLLLLWLWWLWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Mindil Aces | Darwin Hearts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 21 | 34 | 33 | 12 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 9 | 17 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mindil Aces | Darwin Hearts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 80% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 35% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 15% | 40% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 30% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mindil Aces | Darwin Hearts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mindil Aces | Darwin Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mindil Aces | Darwin Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-5 | 6-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mindil Aces | Darwin Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 68% | 32% |
| Total | 46.2% | 53.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Darwin Hearts
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mindil Aces = 0.52 (league 1.76), Darwin Hearts = 0.75 (league 1.56)
| Darwin Hearts | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mindil Aces | 0 | 28.1% | 21.1% | 7.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.7% · Draw 40.2% · Away win 37.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1