Tue, Jan 20 2026 • 13:00 •
Ulinzi Sports Complex
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 0.97)
1.10 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.5% | 33.1% | 51.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
23.0%
0 - 0
20.9%
0 - 2
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Tusker | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| KCB | 0 | 20.9% | 23.0% | 12.7% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | KCB | Tusker |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 60% |
| Attack | 62% | 31% |
| Defense | 54% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | KCB | Tusker | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 29% | 50% | 40% | 25% | 63% | 44% |
| Draws | 29% | 25% | 27% | 25% | 13% | 19% |
| Loses | 43% | 25% | 33% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
Form: KCB: WLWLLLDDWDWWWLD • Tusker: LLDDWWDWLLWWWLWL
League goals
| Metric | KCB | Tusker | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | KCB | Tusker | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 60% | 69% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 27% | 13% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 7% | 0% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | KCB | Tusker | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | KCB | Tusker |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | KCB | Tusker |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-4 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | KCB | Tusker |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 47.3% | 52.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Tusker
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): KCB = 0.46 (league 0.97), Tusker = 1.10 (league 0.91)
| Tusker | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| KCB | 0 | 20.9% | 23.0% | 12.7% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.5% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 51.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1