Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 19:00 • De Vijverberg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.80) 1.67 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.7% 22.9% 37.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
8.3%
2 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Waalwijk
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 3.5% 5.9% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.9% 9.9% 8.3% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.2% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.7% 4.6% 3.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.1% 1.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDe GraafschapWaalwijk
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack56%33%
Defense44%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric De Graafschap Waalwijk
HATHAT
Played101222111122
Wins50%50%50%36%36%36%
Draws20%17%18%27%27%27%
Loses30%33%32%36%36%36%

Form: De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWDLDWWWWLWWWLWL • Waalwijk: WDLWLDWLWDLWWDLDWLLLWD

League goals

Metric De Graafschap Waalwijk
HATHAT
GF total202242171734
GF avg2.01.81.91.51.51.5
GA total161935181634
GA avg1.61.61.61.61.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDe GraafschapWaalwijk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%95%86%82%
1.568%50%45%50%
2.536%14%14%18%
3.55%0%9%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDe GraafschapWaalwijk
HATHAT
Clean sheets101224
Failed to score134033

Penalties

MetricDe GraafschapWaalwijk
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricDe GraafschapWaalwijk
Wins42
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-44-21-4
Biggest losses2-32-01-43-1
Goals For3444
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricDe GraafschapWaalwijk
Form69%31%
Att63%38%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h71%29%
Goals77%23%
Total62.3%37.8%

Advice: Double chance : De Graafschap or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ 188Bet
Draw4.16 @ Pinnacle
Away2.95 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.36 @ William Hill
No3.25 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): De Graafschap = 1.67 (league 1.80), Waalwijk = 1.67 (league 1.43)

Waalwijk
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 3.5% 5.9% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.9% 9.9% 8.3% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.2% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.7% 4.6% 3.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.1% 1.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.7% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 37.9%

vtt 4 , vtd1