Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 19:45 • Gayfield Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.33) 1.01 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.1% 23.0% 20.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
1 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Morton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arbroath 0 6.0% 6.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.8% 10.9% 5.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.9% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.7% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArbroathMorton
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack53%33%
Defense67%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arbroath Morton
HATHAT
Played101222101121
Wins50%42%45%20%18%19%
Draws40%17%27%50%45%48%
Loses10%42%27%30%36%33%

Form: Arbroath: DWLWWLDLDWWLWLDDWWWDLW • Morton: DDDDLDDDWDLLDWWLWLLDL

League goals

Metric Arbroath Morton
HATHAT
GF total16143081220
GF avg1.61.21.40.81.11.0
GA total111627121628
GA avg1.11.31.21.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArbroathMorton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%82%67%81%
1.541%18%24%24%
2.523%14%5%14%
3.55%5%0%10%
4.50%5%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArbroathMorton
HATHAT
Clean sheets314224
Failed to score257437

Penalties

MetricArbroathMorton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricArbroathMorton
Wins32
Draws24
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-32-10-3
Biggest losses0-53-00-45-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against5345

Model comparison

MetricArbroathMorton
Form71%29%
Att62%38%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h7%93%
Goals25%75%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : Arbroath or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.89 @ Dafabet
Draw3.53 @ Pinnacle
Away4.33 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.81 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.94 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arbroath = 1.81 (league 1.33), Morton = 1.01 (league 1.20)

Morton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arbroath 0 6.0% 6.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.8% 10.9% 5.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.9% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.7% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.1% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 20.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1