Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:45 • Ledger Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.58) 1.58 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.5% 25.2% 49.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
11.7%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Worcester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Bedford 0 7.4% 11.7% 9.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.6% 12.0% 9.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.9% 6.1% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal BedfordWorcester City
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack53%47%
Defense40%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Bedford Worcester City
HATHAT
Played141832171734
Wins57%56%56%35%53%44%
Draws21%22%22%29%18%24%
Loses21%22%22%35%29%32%

Form: Real Bedford: WDLLDLWWWDWWWWWDWLDLWWWWWWWLWDLD • Worcester City: LDLDWDDLDLWWWDWWWLLWLDWLWLLWDWWWLW

League goals

Metric Real Bedford Worcester City
HATHAT
GF total253762193352
GF avg1.82.11.91.11.91.5
GA total162137171633
GA avg1.11.21.21.00.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal BedfordWorcester City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%72%74%65%
1.563%31%44%29%
2.534%13%21%3%
3.513%0%9%0%
4.53%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal BedfordWorcester City
HATHAT
Clean sheets4596612
Failed to score246549

Penalties

MetricReal BedfordWorcester City
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricReal BedfordWorcester City
Wins73
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-53-00-6
Biggest losses1-33-21-32-0
Goals For4536
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricReal BedfordWorcester City
Form29%71%
Att53%47%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total44.4%55.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Worcester City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ Betano
Away3.20 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.28 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.26 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Bedford = 1.02 (league 1.58), Worcester City = 1.58 (league 1.32)

Worcester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Bedford 0 7.4% 11.7% 9.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.6% 12.0% 9.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.9% 6.1% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.5% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 49.7%

vtt 2 , vtd1