Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 17:00 •
Estadio Club Deportivo Universidad de Guadalajara
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.51)
0.47 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4% | 24.2% | 10.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.2%
2 - 0
16.0%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| UA Zacatecas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leones Negros | 0 | 12.7% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leones Negros | UA Zacatecas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 60% | 27% |
| Defense | 53% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leones Negros | UA Zacatecas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 71% | 38% | 53% | 25% | 17% | 21% |
| Draws | 14% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 17% | 14% |
| Loses | 14% | 50% | 33% | 63% | 67% | 64% |
Form: Leones Negros: DLDWWLWWLWWWLLW • UA Zacatecas: LLDWWLLLLLWLDL
League goals
| Metric | Leones Negros | UA Zacatecas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 5 | 12 | 17 | 21 | 9 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leones Negros | UA Zacatecas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 73% | 50% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 27% | 29% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 7% | 21% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 7% | 29% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leones Negros | UA Zacatecas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leones Negros | UA Zacatecas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leones Negros | UA Zacatecas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 4-5 | 2-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-5 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leones Negros | UA Zacatecas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 63% | 37% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 64.8% | 35.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Leones Negros or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leones Negros = 1.59 (league 1.51), UA Zacatecas = 0.47 (league 1.18)
| UA Zacatecas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leones Negros | 0 | 12.7% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.4% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 10.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1