League One — England
Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:45 • Cardiff City Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.00 (league 1.41) 0.89 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.2% 12.4% 7.9%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.2%
2 - 0
9.2%
3 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.1% 5.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.2% 8.2% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.2% 8.2% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.9% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCardiffBurton Albion
Played55
Form67%7%
Attack75%8%
Defense67%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.81 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cardiff Burton Albion
HATHAT
Played459538
Wins75%60%67%20%0%13%
Draws0%40%22%20%33%25%
Loses25%0%11%60%67%63%

Form: Cardiff: WDWWWWDLW • Burton Albion: WLDLLLDL

League goals

Metric Cardiff Burton Albion
HATHAT
GF total10515235
GF avg2.51.01.70.41.00.6
GA total4159514
GA avg1.00.20.61.81.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCardiffBurton Albion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%33%38%75%
1.544%11%25%50%
2.522%11%0%38%
3.511%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCardiffBurton Albion
HATHAT
Clean sheets246112
Failed to score011415

Penalties

MetricCardiffBurton Albion
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCardiffBurton Albion
Wins41
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-1—
Biggest losses1-3—0-43-2
Goals For4222
Goals Against3143

Model comparison

MetricCardiffBurton Albion
Form91%9%
Att90%10%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h60%40%
Goals55%45%
Total73.5%26.5%

Advice: Winner : Cardiff

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.41 @ Unibet
Draw5.22 @ Pinnacle
Away8.25 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ SBO
Under 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Betano
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cardiff = 3.00 (league 1.41), Burton Albion = 0.89 (league 1.12)

Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.1% 5.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.2% 8.2% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.2% 8.2% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.9% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.2% · Draw 12.4% · Away win 7.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1