Serie A Women — Italy
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 11:30 • Centro Sportivo Peppino Vismara
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.36 (league 1.57) 0.89 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.3% 10.2% 6.1%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.1%
2 - 0
8.1%
3 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Genoa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Milan W 0 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.8% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.1% 7.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.1% 8.0% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.6% 6.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.1% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAC Milan WGenoa W
Played55
Form53%7%
Attack57%14%
Defense50%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AC Milan W Genoa W
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins50%40%45%33%0%18%
Draws17%20%18%0%20%9%
Loses33%40%36%67%80%73%

Form: AC Milan W: WLLWWLDWLDW • Genoa W: LLWLWLLLLDL

League goals

Metric AC Milan W Genoa W
HATHAT
GF total13720639
GF avg2.21.41.81.00.60.8
GA total1261881220
GA avg2.01.21.61.32.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAC Milan WGenoa W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%73%64%91%
1.564%45%9%55%
2.527%18%9%18%
3.59%18%0%9%
4.50%9%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAC Milan WGenoa W
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricAC Milan WGenoa W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAC Milan WGenoa W
Wins21
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-1—
Biggest losses1-54-31-35-0
Goals For4331
Goals Against5435

Model comparison

MetricAC Milan WGenoa W
Form89%11%
Att80%20%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h100%0%
Goals63%38%
Total74.0%26.2%

Advice: Winner : AC Milan W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.50 @ 188Bet
Away6.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AC Milan W = 3.36 (league 1.57), Genoa W = 0.89 (league 1.35)

Genoa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Milan W 0 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.8% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.1% 7.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.1% 8.0% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.6% 6.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.1% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.3% · Draw 10.2% · Away win 6.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1