Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Fausto Coppi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.29) 0.67 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.1% 37.5% 28.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.6%
1 - 0
18.2%
0 - 1
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Valenzana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derthona 0 23.6% 15.9% 5.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.2% 12.2% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.0% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDerthonaValenzana
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack33%17%
Defense25%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Derthona Valenzana
HATHAT
Played111021101121
Wins18%60%38%40%27%33%
Draws18%0%10%20%36%29%
Loses64%40%52%40%36%38%

Form: Derthona: WLLLWDLDWLWWWLLWLWLLL • Valenzana: WLDDLDWWWDLLLWLDLWLDW

League goals

Metric Derthona Valenzana
HATHAT
GF total12142610616
GF avg1.11.41.21.00.50.8
GA total171431131023
GA avg1.51.41.51.30.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDerthonaValenzana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%76%62%71%
1.533%48%14%33%
2.519%19%0%5%
3.50%5%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDerthonaValenzana
HATHAT
Clean sheets235246
Failed to score336358

Penalties

MetricDerthonaValenzana
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricDerthonaValenzana
Wins33
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-10-1
Biggest losses1-34-01-32-0
Goals For3321
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricDerthonaValenzana
Form30%70%
Att67%33%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Derthona or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away3.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.74 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Superbet
No1.89 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Derthona = 0.77 (league 1.29), Valenzana = 0.67 (league 1.11)

Valenzana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derthona 0 23.6% 15.9% 5.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.2% 12.2% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.0% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.1% · Draw 37.5% · Away win 28.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1