Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio del Conero
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.32) 0.20 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.2% 22.8% 4.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.6%
2 - 0
20.9%
0 - 0
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
Castelfidardo Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ancona 0 16.9% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.6% 5.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.9% 4.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.0% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAnconaCastelfidardo Calcio
Played55
Form87%27%
Attack58%42%
Defense83%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ancona Castelfidardo Calcio
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins70%73%71%20%9%14%
Draws10%18%14%10%18%14%
Loses20%9%14%70%73%71%

Form: Ancona: LWWWWWDWWWWDLLWWDWWWW • Castelfidardo Calcio: LLLLLDLLLLWLLDLWLLLDW

League goals

Metric Ancona Castelfidardo Calcio
HATHAT
GF total1321349716
GF avg1.31.91.60.90.60.8
GA total4812221840
GA avg0.40.70.62.21.61.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAnconaCastelfidardo Calcio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%38%57%86%
1.552%14%19%57%
2.519%5%0%33%
3.55%0%0%5%
4.55%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAnconaCastelfidardo Calcio
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613213
Failed to score224369

Penalties

MetricAnconaCastelfidardo Calcio
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricAnconaCastelfidardo Calcio
Wins51
Draws11
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-52-01-2
Biggest losses1-23-01-63-1
Goals For2522
Goals Against2363

Model comparison

MetricAnconaCastelfidardo Calcio
Form76%24%
Att58%42%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h75%25%
Goals44%56%
Total69.8%30.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ancona or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.28 @ Bet365
Draw4.91 @ Pinnacle
Away13.20 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.60 @ Superbet
No1.48 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ancona = 1.57 (league 1.32), Castelfidardo Calcio = 0.20 (league 1.18)

Castelfidardo Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ancona 0 16.9% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.6% 5.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.9% 4.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.0% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.2% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 4.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1