Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Guido D'Ippolito
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.34) 0.45 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.8% 30.4% 13.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.9%
0 - 0
18.6%
2 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Vigor Lamezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambiase 0 18.6% 8.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.9% 10.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.1% 6.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSambiaseVigor Lamezia
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack36%57%
Defense64%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sambiase Vigor Lamezia
HATHAT
Played111021101020
Wins27%50%38%50%10%30%
Draws55%20%38%10%30%20%
Loses18%30%24%40%60%50%

Form: Sambiase: LDWWDDWDLWWDWDLDLWWDL • Vigor Lamezia: WLWLDLLWLDWLLLLWDDLW

League goals

Metric Sambiase Vigor Lamezia
HATHAT
GF total12102214721
GF avg1.11.01.01.40.71.1
GA total881671522
GA avg0.70.80.80.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSambiaseVigor Lamezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%62%65%70%
1.533%14%25%25%
2.510%0%10%15%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSambiaseVigor Lamezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets358516
Failed to score358437

Penalties

MetricSambiaseVigor Lamezia
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricSambiaseVigor Lamezia
Wins21
Draws22
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-00-1
Biggest losses0-12-02-33-0
Goals For3341
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricSambiaseVigor Lamezia
Form47%53%
Att38%62%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total58.4%41.6%

Advice: Double chance : Sambiase or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away4.34 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Superbet
No1.70 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sambiase = 1.23 (league 1.34), Vigor Lamezia = 0.45 (league 1.09)

Vigor Lamezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambiase 0 18.6% 8.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.9% 10.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.1% 6.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.8% · Draw 30.4% · Away win 13.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1