Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio O Couto
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.38)
0.74 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.1% | 27.6% | 20.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Burgos Promesas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Ourense | 0 | 11.8% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 12.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD Ourense | Burgos Promesas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 40% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD Ourense | Burgos Promesas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 56% | 45% | 50% | 30% | 10% | 20% |
| Draws | 11% | 36% | 25% | 50% | 30% | 40% |
| Loses | 33% | 18% | 25% | 20% | 60% | 40% |
UD OurenseLDLLDDWWWDWWWLLWDWWW
Burgos PromesasLDDDLWLDDDDLLDLWLWWL
League goals
| Metric | UD Ourense | Burgos Promesas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 11 | 24 | 35 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD Ourense | Burgos Promesas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 60% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 15% | 30% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 5% | 10% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD Ourense | Burgos Promesas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD Ourense | Burgos Promesas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD Ourense | Burgos Promesas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD Ourense | Burgos Promesas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 58.8% | 41.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.66 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Betano
Away6.06 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.34 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Betano
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League standings
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